Real USD/CAD price swings and liquidity sweeps, 2020-06-01 → 2023-06-30 -- the same window as Market Terminal. Journal and Alert Rules are Core tools too, mentioned here rather than mocked up since they're less visual: a running trade log per market, and rules that notify you when a market enters a reducing campaign. See plans →
Historical study · Not current market data
Every price swing since a market's COT history began, next to the report snapshot at that swing's start and end. Raw data to scan yourself -- a pooled test of "does extreme positioning at a swing's start predict its direction" across all 42 tracked markets came back at ~52-53% vs a 50% coinflip, with no clean pattern across markets. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Total swings7
Drops3 · avg 4.32%
Rises4 · avg 7.05%
click a column to sort
#
Dir
Start → End
Start px
End px
% move
Weeks
MM Net start
MM Net end
MM Long% start
MM Long% end
Comm Net start
Comm Net end
Comm Long% start
Comm Long% end
83
RISE
2021-06-02 → 2021-08-20
1.2037
1.2847
+6.73%
11
+48,772
+2,660
70.6%
36.7%
-82,481
-14,642
35.4%
39.6%
84
DROP
2021-08-20 → 2021-10-20
1.2847
1.2316
-4.13%
9
+2,660
-10,924
36.7%
31.9%
-14,642
-7,837
39.6%
30.8%
85
RISE
2021-10-20 → 2022-05-12
1.2316
1.3075
+6.17%
29
-10,924
-5,407
31.9%
30.5%
-7,837
+2,939
30.8%
31.9%
86
DROP
2022-05-12 → 2022-06-07
1.3075
1.2529
-4.18%
4
-5,407
-1,062
30.5%
31.0%
+2,939
-13,401
31.9%
31.4%
87
RISE
2022-06-07 → 2022-10-14
1.2529
1.3892
+10.88%
18
-1,062
-25,672
31.0%
25.6%
-13,401
+27,366
31.4%
33.1%
88
DROP
2022-10-14 → 2022-11-11
1.3892
1.3246
-4.65%
4
-25,672
-18,464
25.6%
31.2%
+27,366
+17,930
33.1%
32.1%
89
RISE
2022-11-11 → 2023-03-10
1.3246
1.3832
+4.43%
17
-18,464
-29,202
31.2%
49.0%
+17,930
+39,469
32.1%
44.1%
Every time a market makes a fresh 20-day high or low ("sweeping" the liquidity resting at the prior extreme), next to what happened in the following 10 trading days. Validated at real scale across all 42 tracked markets: sweeps reverse ~71.8% of the time vs ~45.6% for an ordinary touch. But a random-level control showed the same ~70.7% rate -- this is general price action, not a COT positioning signal. No zone, no campaign, no participant data feeds this page. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Sweeps found205
Reversal rate48.8% (n=205)
Pooled baseline71.8%
Date
Direction
Swept level
Sweep price
Outcome (10d)
2023-06-27
Low swept
1.3135
1.3115
Reversed
2023-06-26
Low swept
1.3141
1.3135
Reversed
2023-06-22
Low swept
1.3154
1.3141
Reversed
2023-06-21
Low swept
1.3178
1.3154
Continued
2023-06-16
Low swept
1.3208
1.3178
Reversed
2023-06-15
Low swept
1.3247
1.3208
Continued
2023-06-07
Low swept
1.3342
1.3247
Reversed
2023-05-08
Low swept
1.3334
1.3323
Reversed
2023-04-28
High swept
1.3643
1.3658
Reversed
2023-04-13
Low swept
1.3410
1.3334
Reversed
2023-04-03
Low swept
1.3515
1.3410
Continued
2023-03-30
Low swept
1.3556
1.3515
Continued
2023-03-10
High swept
1.3838
1.3862
Reversed
2023-03-09
High swept
1.3815
1.3838
Continued
2023-03-08
High swept
1.3764
1.3815
Continued
2023-03-07
High swept
1.3665
1.3764
Continued
2023-02-24
High swept
1.3580
1.3665
Reversed
2023-02-23
High swept
1.3568
1.3580
Continued
2023-02-22
High swept
1.3548
1.3568
Continued
2023-02-21
High swept
1.3536
1.3548
Continued
2023-02-17
High swept
1.3479
1.3536
Continued
2023-02-01
Low swept
1.3299
1.3277
Reversed
2023-01-31
Low swept
1.3304
1.3299
Continued
2023-01-27
Low swept
1.3328
1.3304
Reversed
2023-01-13
Low swept
1.3351
1.3328
Reversed
2023-01-12
Low swept
1.3366
1.3351
Reversed
2023-01-09
Low swept
1.3433
1.3366
Continued
2023-01-06
Low swept
1.3477
1.3433
Continued
2022-12-16
High swept
1.3700
1.3705
Reversed
2022-12-07
High swept
1.3675
1.3700
Reversed
2022-12-06
High swept
1.3644
1.3675
Continued
2022-11-16
Low swept
1.3246
1.3226
Reversed
2022-11-11
Low swept
1.3319
1.3246
Reversed
2022-11-10
Low swept
1.3397
1.3319
Continued
2022-11-08
Low swept
1.3473
1.3397
Reversed
2022-11-04
Low swept
1.3517
1.3473
Continued
2022-10-13
High swept
1.3849
1.3952
Reversed
2022-10-11
High swept
1.3819
1.3849
Reversed
2022-09-30
High swept
1.3804
1.3819
Reversed
2022-09-26
High swept
1.3611
1.3804
Continued
2022-09-23
High swept
1.3524
1.3611
Continued
2022-09-22
High swept
1.3464
1.3524
Continued
2022-09-21
High swept
1.3344
1.3464
Continued
2022-09-20
High swept
1.3343
1.3344
Continued
2022-09-19
High swept
1.3309
1.3343
Continued
2022-09-16
High swept
1.3242
1.3309
Continued
2022-09-15
High swept
1.3213
1.3242
Continued
2022-09-01
High swept
1.3144
1.3213
Reversed
2022-08-31
High swept
1.3113
1.3144
Continued
2022-08-30
High swept
1.3080
1.3113
Continued
2022-08-29
High swept
1.3068
1.3080
Continued
2022-08-23
High swept
1.3065
1.3068
Reversed
2022-08-22
High swept
1.3012
1.3065
Reversed
2022-08-19
High swept
1.2977
1.3012
Continued
2022-08-11
Low swept
1.2763
1.2739
Reversed
2022-08-10
Low swept
1.2801
1.2763
Continued
2022-08-01
Low swept
1.2811
1.2801
Reversed
2022-07-29
Low swept
1.2811
1.2811
Reversed
2022-07-28
Low swept
1.2825
1.2811
Continued
2022-07-26
Low swept
1.2829
1.2825
Reversed
2022-07-14
High swept
1.3083
1.3221
Reversed
2022-07-05
High swept
1.3071
1.3083
Reversed
2022-06-17
High swept
1.2987
1.3071
Reversed
2022-06-15
High swept
1.2937
1.2987
Reversed
2022-06-14
High swept
1.2899
1.2937
Continued
2022-06-08
Low swept
1.2524
1.2519
Reversed
2022-06-07
Low swept
1.2536
1.2524
Reversed
2022-06-06
Low swept
1.2553
1.2536
Continued
2022-06-03
Low swept
1.2566
1.2553
Reversed
2022-06-02
Low swept
1.2606
1.2566
Continued
2022-06-01
Low swept
1.2632
1.2606
Continued
2022-05-31
Low swept
1.2720
1.2632
Continued
2022-05-27
Low swept
1.2730
1.2720
Continued
2022-05-12
High swept
1.3025
1.3075
Reversed
2022-05-10
High swept
1.2988
1.3025
Reversed
2022-05-09
High swept
1.2907
1.2988
Continued
2022-05-02
High swept
1.2875
1.2907
Reversed
2022-04-28
High swept
1.2834
1.2875
Continued
2022-04-27
High swept
1.2801
1.2834
Continued
2022-04-26
High swept
1.2767
1.2801
Continued
2022-04-25
High swept
1.2723
1.2767
Continued
2022-04-22
High swept
1.2672
1.2723
Continued
2022-03-30
Low swept
1.2472
1.2432
Reversed
2022-03-25
Low swept
1.2509
1.2472
Reversed
2022-03-24
Low swept
1.2558
1.2509
Continued
2022-03-23
Low swept
1.2571
1.2558
Continued
2022-03-21
Low swept
1.2587
1.2571
Continued
2022-03-08
High swept
1.2879
1.2902
Reversed
2022-03-03
Low swept
1.2629
1.2587
Reversed
2022-03-02
Low swept
1.2653
1.2629
Reversed
2022-03-01
Low swept
1.2657
1.2653
Continued
2022-02-28
Low swept
1.2658
1.2657
Reversed
2022-02-24
High swept
1.2790
1.2879
Reversed
2022-01-13
Low swept
1.2500
1.2460
Reversed
2022-01-12
Low swept
1.2571
1.2500
Continued
2022-01-11
Low swept
1.2622
1.2571
Continued
2022-01-10
Low swept
1.2634
1.2622
Continued
2022-01-07
Low swept
1.2640
1.2634
Reversed
2021-12-20
High swept
1.2922
1.2947
Reversed
2021-12-15
High swept
1.2856
1.2922
Reversed
2021-12-03
High swept
1.2839
1.2856
Reversed
2021-12-02
High swept
1.2838
1.2839
Continued
2021-11-30
High swept
1.2800
1.2838
Continued
2021-11-26
High swept
1.2746
1.2800
Continued
2021-11-23
High swept
1.2706
1.2746
Reversed
2021-11-22
High swept
1.2663
1.2706
Continued
2021-11-19
High swept
1.2648
1.2663
Continued
2021-11-18
High swept
1.2624
1.2648
Continued
2021-11-17
High swept
1.2587
1.2624
Continued
2021-11-11
High swept
1.2497
1.2587
Continued
2021-11-10
High swept
1.2481
1.2497
Continued
2021-10-21
Low swept
1.2311
1.2299
Reversed
2021-10-20
Low swept
1.2318
1.2311
Reversed
2021-10-19
Low swept
1.2348
1.2318
Continued
2021-10-15
Low swept
1.2368
1.2348
Reversed
2021-10-14
Low swept
1.2435
1.2368
Continued
2021-10-13
Low swept
1.2459
1.2435
Continued
2021-10-08
Low swept
1.2545
1.2459
Continued
2021-10-07
Low swept
1.2549
1.2545
Continued
2021-09-03
Low swept
1.2498
1.2495
Reversed
2021-08-20
High swept
1.2832
1.2949
Reversed
2021-08-19
High swept
1.2665
1.2832
Continued
2021-07-19
High swept
1.2608
1.2765
Reversed
2021-07-15
High swept
1.2588
1.2608
Continued
2021-07-08
High swept
1.2512
1.2588
Reversed
2021-07-07
High swept
1.2491
1.2512
Continued
2021-07-06
High swept
1.2484
1.2491
Reversed
2021-06-21
High swept
1.2473
1.2484
Reversed
2021-06-18
High swept
1.2367
1.2473
Reversed
2021-06-17
High swept
1.2279
1.2367
Continued
2021-06-16
High swept
1.2195
1.2279
Continued
2021-06-15
High swept
1.2178
1.2195
Continued
2021-06-11
High swept
1.2174
1.2178
Reversed
2021-06-01
Low swept
1.2028
1.2008
Reversed
2021-05-21
Low swept
1.2032
1.2028
Reversed
2021-05-18
Low swept
1.2057
1.2032
Reversed
2021-05-12
Low swept
1.2089
1.2057
Reversed
2021-05-11
Low swept
1.2090
1.2089
Reversed
2021-05-10
Low swept
1.2140
1.2090
Continued
2021-05-07
Low swept
1.2182
1.2140
Continued
2021-05-06
Low swept
1.2251
1.2182
Continued
2021-05-05
Low swept
1.2268
1.2251
Continued
2021-05-03
Low swept
1.2274
1.2268
Reversed
2021-04-30
Low swept
1.2280
1.2274
Continued
2021-04-29
Low swept
1.2315
1.2280
Continued
2021-04-28
Low swept
1.2392
1.2315
Continued
2021-04-26
Low swept
1.2464
1.2392
Continued
2021-04-23
Low swept
1.2474
1.2464
Continued
2021-03-18
Low swept
1.2401
1.2392
Reversed
2021-03-17
Low swept
1.2442
1.2401
Reversed
2021-03-15
Low swept
1.2463
1.2442
Reversed
2021-03-12
Low swept
1.2467
1.2463
Reversed
2021-02-25
Low swept
1.2504
1.2467
Reversed
2021-02-24
Low swept
1.2577
1.2504
Continued
2021-02-23
Low swept
1.2580
1.2577
Continued
2021-02-22
Low swept
1.2594
1.2580
Continued
2021-01-29
High swept
1.2840
1.2869
Reversed
2021-01-28
High swept
1.2832
1.2840
Reversed
2021-01-21
Low swept
1.2623
1.2590
Reversed
2021-01-20
Low swept
1.2629
1.2623
Continued
2021-01-06
Low swept
1.2665
1.2629
Reversed
2021-01-05
Low swept
1.2673
1.2665
Reversed
2021-01-04
Low swept
1.2691
1.2673
Continued
2020-12-17
Low swept
1.2702
1.2691
Reversed
2020-12-16
Low swept
1.2707
1.2702
Reversed
2020-12-10
Low swept
1.2768
1.2707
Reversed
2020-12-08
Low swept
1.2772
1.2768
Reversed
2020-12-04
Low swept
1.2852
1.2772
Continued
2020-12-03
Low swept
1.2910
1.2852
Continued
2020-12-02
Low swept
1.2922
1.2910
Continued
2020-11-30
Low swept
1.2934
1.2922
Reversed
2020-11-09
Low swept
1.3027
1.2934
Reversed
2020-11-06
Low swept
1.3038
1.3027
Continued
2020-11-05
Low swept
1.3089
1.3038
Continued
2020-10-29
High swept
1.3333
1.3389
Reversed
2020-10-21
Low swept
1.3116
1.3089
Reversed
2020-10-12
Low swept
1.3130
1.3116
Reversed
2020-10-09
Low swept
1.3138
1.3130
Continued
2020-09-30
High swept
1.3415
1.3418
Reversed
2020-09-24
High swept
1.3378
1.3415
Reversed
2020-09-23
High swept
1.3319
1.3378
Continued
2020-09-22
High swept
1.3317
1.3319
Continued
2020-09-21
High swept
1.3259
1.3317
Continued
2020-09-01
Low swept
1.3020
1.2994
Reversed
2020-08-31
Low swept
1.3047
1.3020
Reversed
2020-08-28
Low swept
1.3101
1.3047
Continued
2020-08-27
Low swept
1.3131
1.3101
Continued
2020-08-26
Low swept
1.3133
1.3131
Continued
2020-08-19
Low swept
1.3165
1.3133
Reversed
2020-08-18
Low swept
1.3196
1.3165
Continued
2020-08-17
Low swept
1.3200
1.3196
Continued
2020-08-13
Low swept
1.3231
1.3200
Reversed
2020-08-12
Low swept
1.3240
1.3231
Continued
2020-08-05
Low swept
1.3333
1.3240
Reversed
2020-07-28
Low swept
1.3356
1.3333
Reversed
2020-07-23
Low swept
1.3408
1.3356
Reversed
2020-07-22
Low swept
1.3436
1.3408
Continued
2020-07-21
Low swept
1.3481
1.3436
Continued
2020-06-10
Low swept
1.3356
1.3315
Reversed
2020-06-08
Low swept
1.3391
1.3356
Reversed
2020-06-05
Low swept
1.3467
1.3391
Continued
2020-06-04
Low swept
1.3478
1.3467
Continued
2020-06-03
Low swept
1.3483
1.3478
Reversed
2020-06-02
Low swept
1.3558
1.3483
Continued
2020-06-01
Low swept
1.3715
1.3558
Continued
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